Template-Type: ReDIF-Paper 1.0 Series: Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers Creation-Date: 2004-08-26 Number: 04-094/3 Author-Name: Gerard J. van den Berg Author-Email: email@example.com Author-Workplace-Name: Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, IFAU-Uppsala, CEPR, IZA, and INSEE-CREST Author-Name: Maarten Lindeboom Author-Email: firstname.lastname@example.org Author-Workplace-Name: Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam Author-Name: Peter J. Dolton Author-Workplace-Name: University-upon-Tyne, and Center for Economic Policy, London School of Economics Title: Survey Non-response and Unemployment Duration Abstract: Social surveys are often used to estimate unemployment duration distributions. Survey non-response may then cause a bias. We study this by using a data set that combines survey information of individual workers with administrative records of the same workers. The latter provide information on durations of unemployment and personal characteristics of all survey respondents and non-respondents. We develop a method to distinguish empirically between two explanations for a bias in results based on only survey data: selectivity due to related unobserved determinants of durations of unemployment and non-response and a causal effect of a job exit on non-response. The latter may occur even in fully homogeneous populations. The methodology exploits variation in the timing of the duration outcome relative to the survey moment. The results show evidence for both explanations. We discuss implications for standard methods to deal with non-response bias.
This discussion paper has resulted in a publication in the Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A. (2006, 169(3), 585-604.) Classification-JEL: J0 Keywords: non-response bias; unemployment measurement; hazard rate; sample selection; event history File-Url: http://papers.tinbergen.nl/04094.pdf File-Format: application/pdf File-Size: 437152 bytes Handle: RePEc:tin:wpaper:20040094